10/19: Jeff Berwick outlines in the Dollar Vigilante the New Crypto Order including: XBT, ETH, EOS and the US$ debt transfer.
I’ve said it before and I have to say it again. I am shocked at how fast everything is moving. When we started The Dollar Vigilante in 2010 we only wrote one issue per month and each month I’d have to think quite hard about the important issues to cover. There just wasn’t that much happening on a month to month basis. Now, I have to literally filter through dozens of important things that have just occurred and try to select a few of them to focus on or this newsletter would be 100+ pages long. The crypto space has become an entire topic on its own with so much happening that we are looking to bring on even more people onto the TDV team with a focus on cryptos, ICOs and trading. This will likely result in an add-on newsletter to TDV because just covering this space alone is worth 50 pages per month in research and analysis (I’ll briefly mention a number of interesting developments further below though). Stay tuned for more on that. In the bitcoin space alone, ignoring all the other cryptos & ICOs, so much has occurred in just the last month. The criminal Chinese government shut down three of the world’s largest exchanges and banned ICOs. JPMorgan has been attacking bitcoin as a fraud - which is laughable coming from that bunch. And the New York Agreement signatories proceeded further with the scheduled SegWit2x hard fork (which Juan Galt will cover in depth in this issue). You’d think with all that happening and the uncertainty surrounding yet another bitcoin fork it would have seriously hurt the price of bitcoin. Nope, bitcoin nearly doubled in the last month. Bitcoin just don’t care. BITCOIN HITS ALL-TIME HIGHS NEAR $6,000 As I write, bitcoin is trading at $5600 after hitting a new all-time high of $5,844.18 on Sunday. For the last three months I mentioned numerous times that I liked the short term prospects of bitcoin over the entire cryptocurrency space as a whole. And that has turned out to be correct as bitcoin has risen from a low of 37.82% dominance in the sector in June to 54.45% now. The total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding bitcoin has fallen from $97 billion at the beginning of September to $79 billion today. Meanwhile, bitcoin itself currently sits near $94 billion in market cap. It was only one year ago today that bitcoin had a market cap of just over $10 billion meaning it has increased nearly 1,000% in the last year in both market cap and price. Not a bad year! I recall many TDV subscribers lamenting how they had missed out on bitcoin after it had skyrocketed to $150 in 2013 after starting the year near $15. I said then that it was definitely not too late to get in. The same happened after bitcoin surged through $1,000. And, I said the same, “it’s not too late.” When bitcoin hit $3,000 I said the same. With it now near $6,000 I am telling you it is not too late. Here’s the main reason: This is a chart of the money supply or value of gold, bitcoin, Chinese yuan, Japanese yen, euro and the US dollar. You’ll notice one stands out as being miniscule. Bitcoin. Gold is the next closest to bitcoin with a total value of approximately $7 trillion. If bitcoin, which many including myself consider to be the digital version of gold were to one day be valued the same as gold it would have to rise 80x to a value, in today’s dollars, of over $450,000. If bitcoin were ever to supplant the US dollar as a currency it’d have to rise nearly two-fold above that, for nearly $1 million per bitcoin. Will it ever get there? Well, there is absolutely no way to know. And, if it does, it will take a long while. Does it have the potential? Yes, absolutely. If we continue to live in a digital world and the fiat currencies of the world’s most indebted and bankrupt companies return to their intrinsic value of $0, then bitcoin would be the frontrunner to become the new world currency even more than gold due to all of its ease of use benefits. It’s not going to get there without a fight though. And I expect nothing but volatility, crisis and chaos in the years ahead. But consider the fact that there are only a total of 21 million bitcoins that will ever be available. Some data shows that there are over 15 million millionaires in the world today. What if each one of them wanted to own just two bitcoins. There wouldn’t be enough. And what if many of those millionaires begin to realize the entire fiat currency system was on the verge of collapse? The panic buying that would ensue would rise bitcoin, and to a lesser extent gold, to levels so high that sellers would eventually stop accepting fiat currencies whatsoever in exchange for bitcoin. That’s where we could be headed. In the meantime, though, with a rise of 1,000% in the last year a sizeable pullback is clearly possible. Will it happen anytime soon? Truthfully, everything I am seeing says no. Bitcoin, which once was just known by a few of us crazy people here around The Dollar Vigilante is now talked about at every level of business, banking and politics across the world… and a lot of the conversation is, “How do we get some?” And, did I mention, the entire cryptocurrency space is moving forward at light speed. BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY ERUPTS Considering I was one of the only people talking about blockchain about three years ago it is incredible to see the speed in which this technology is accelerating. Russia has flip flopped on bitcoin countless times now and has just announced it will be r eleasing its own CryptoRuble (CR). Of course, it will be nothing like bitcoin as it cannot be mined and will be issued and controlled by the Russian mafia (government). CR can be exchanged for regular Rubles at any time — however, if the holder is unable to explain the origin of the CR then a 13% extortion tax will be levied. China may be following in Russia’s footsteps as the Director of the Digital Currency Research Institute under the People’s Bank of China hinted towards the creation of a state-backed cryptocurrency. I expect most fiat currencies to become digital over time which will make most people accustomed to using digital currencies… from there it is only a click away to trade in or out of bitcoin and the myriad of other decentralized cryptocurrencies. Coinshares, the issuer behind the world’s first Bitcoin Exchange Traded Note (ETN), has announced that they will be launching the world’s first Ether ETN on the Nasdaq Stockholm. The Dubai Land Department — the government arm responsible for the registration and organization of real estate in the emirate — is now processing and implementing all real estate transactions on a blockchain, with the ultimate goal to have all Dubai properties recorded on a blockchain within the next 2-3 years. This is one area in which I have no trouble with the government using blockchain technology: in the recording of property rights and activities. It will, over time, make government unnecessary in such activities and will enable the economy to transact with more trust and less expense in the form of lawyers. Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum, has confirmed that 63% of central banks are working with Ethereum. Moreover, 44% of public institutions and 50,000 developers are building applications on the platform. IBM has announced a partnership with Stellar Lumens , a blockchain-based payment processing company, to move money across borders throughout the South Pacific. Merchants and consumers will be able to send money to another country in near real-time, accelerating a payments process that typically takes days. IBM hopes to use the blockchain network to process up to 60% of all cross-border payments in the South Pacific’s retail foreign exchange corridors by early 2018. The Stellar Lumens coin appreciated 150% after the announcement. Basecoin, a form of stable coin, has attracted investment from some of Silicon Valley’s largest funds including 1confirmation, Andreessen Horowitz, Bain Capital Ventures, Digital Currency Group, MetaStable Capital, Pantera Capital and PolyChain Capital. Basecoin is lauded by investors for its unique approach to what's been called the "holy grail" of cryptocurrency – a digital asset able to keep its value free from volatility. The basecoin protocol can be pegged to the value of any asset or basket of assets, dynamically adjusting its market price through the creative use of a combination of tokens. Grid+, the blockchain-based company aiming to provide consumers with direct access to wholesale energy markets, has partnered with Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO), Japan’s largest energy utility. TEPCO aims to leverage its partnership to learn about the potential benefits of Ethereum for decentralizing the exchange of energy, while Grid+ hopes to learn how to refine its algorithms to purchase cheaper energy. Winding Tree, a decentralized market for travel booking, has announced a partnership with Lufthansa, the largest German airline. The Winding Tree ICO starts on November 1. And, Overstock CEO Patrick Byrne has confirmed that his security token exchange, tZERO, will be pursuing an ICO sometime before Thanksgiving. Byrne suggested that the ICO could raise as much as $500m, which would be double the record for an ICO raise. I interviewed Patrick Byrne on Anarchast last month. You can see that here. And, Vanuatu this month announced that it will accept bitcoin in exchange for citizenship— 44 bitcoin to be exact . And we barely mentioned any of the ICO news. That’s a whole other area on its own. I wanted to post this chart, though, of the main ICO’s return to date. As can be seen, buying a small amount of certain ICOs, which have had returns of 10x, 100x and even 1,000x can be very profitable but you do need to be careful. We’ll continue to cover them here and are increasing our research and analysis resources dramatically to do so. UPDATE ON EOS Speaking of ICOs we have had a rough start with EOS which unfortunately, at the moment, is on the right side (loss side) of the above chart. Many subscribers asked me to interview Dan Larimer again and, as I always try to do, I obliged. This interview is exclusive to subscribers for the next 48 hours and then we will put it live to the public. Here is the video . *This video was also livestreamed on the TDV subscribers only Facebook Group here . Due to many things happening so quickly we don’t have time to even email out alerts like this but try to post if we can in the FB group. I realize some people don’t like FBIbook for obvious reasons but even just having a sock (fake) account set-up to access the group gets you access to a lot of valuable realtime info. To summarize, Dan believes the drop in the price of EOS isn’t due to their long ICO period but mostly attributable to the Chinese ban on ICOs. According to Dan, 50% of buying was coming from China. I’ve seen a number of people on the internet and even amongst subscribers questioning EOS. That is fairly normal. I was one of the only people in the world lauding bitcoin at $3 in 2011 and still to this day people say it is a scam, a ponzi scheme or a fraud. I obviously stopped listening to them a long time ago. When I first featured Ethereum in January 2016 near $2 there was a lot of criticism… and while it did rise to the $10 level fairly quickly afterwards it plateaued there for nearly a year bringing out a lot of catcalls about how it was dead. It wasn’t. So, with EOS, it has gotten off to a rocky start but it is also very early stage… and I have said that. However, by the time it is launched in June the price will likely be dramatically higher. So, you can wait and pay more later when the world realizes what a huge advance it is or you can get in early and take a few lumps waiting for the market to realize its value. Dan Larimer outlined a lot of good information on EOS in our interview but afterwards, off the record, he went into detail on many of the projects they are working on… and I can tell you, they have ‘world changing” written all over them. The market doesn’t know or realize a lot of it. And EOS has an absolutely massive bankroll, in the hundreds of millions of dollars, to bring all their projects (which are all related to or linked with EOS) to market. And Dan has an amazing vision. He understands what the market needs and wants - which is often a downfall of most techies - and knows how to get there. He announced this week in the official Telegram channel that EOS will be the first blockchain with unprecedented sub-second block times of 500 milliseconds and sub-second last irreversible block (LIB) providing finality. In other words, the time between a user sending a transaction or a command and being included in the blockchain could be consistently under a second compared to 10 minutes on Bitcoin. So, with a market capitalization of $400 million currently - and a bankroll of almost the same amount - to me this is a no brainer lottery ticket. Sure, like any new product it may fail. But, it may also succeed… and has a good chance of doing so in my opinion. And, if it does, we’ll laugh at how cheap it currently is for the opportunity. In other words, stick with it and if you bought earlier at higher levels look to average down. SUMMING UP THE CRYPTO SPACE Like I said, A LOT is going on in the crypto space. It isn’t going to go away overnight no matter how many times Peter Schiff says it will. Make sure to stick with us here at The Dollar Vigilante, the only financial newsletter in the world that has covered bitcoin and cryptos since 2011. Still to this day most financial newsletters don’t even cover this space… or even avoid it. Their, and their subscribers, loss. Keep this in mind with bitcoin, too. Since bitcoin was launched in 2009 it has actually been in a near-state of hyperinflation… a type of hyperinflation that was necessary in order to widely distribute the coins. That time of high inflation is nearly over just as quite a large part of the world is just waking up to bitcoin. What happens when increased demand meets decreasing supply? I think we all know the answer to that basic economics question. OTHER EVENTS So many other things have happened in the last two weeks but we only have so much time and mindspace to cover it all. I didn’t even touch on what was quite obviously a false flag in Las Vegas. All the typical 9/11 type scenarios have occurred along with a storyline from the LameStream Media and the government that make zero sense. Insiders sold stock of MGM prior to the event? Check . A surge in buying in ammunition starting on 9/11 leading up to the event? Check. Eyewitness to multiple shooters dead? Check . Predictive programming? Check… as I’ll outline here. It is well known by many that Hollywood and the music industry are largely controlled by elites. In fact it also well known that many popular stars are used for predictive programming purposes to influence the opinions of the masses. It appears as if country singer Jason Aldean is one of these celebrities that is being used to convey subliminal messages along with others. As we have come to learn, many of the nefarious plots that are planned by elites are planned decades in advance if not scores of years. With that in mind, there exists an Illuminati card game that contains a “Las Vegas” card. On this card are depicted a jack and ace, something you might see in a game of black jack, along with a picture of a sun. The game created in 1996 has predicted multiple false flags and operations carried out by the elite including the Pentagon blowing up and 9/11. In blackjack, the jack has the value “10” the ace has the value 1 or 11. In this case, it appears the symbology used on this card is conveying that the value of this ace is “1” - A is the first letter of the alphabet and in numerology - which the elites strongly believe in - it has the value “1”. So when you put the two values together you end up with 10/1 - the same day the Las Vegas shooting occurred. Coincidence? Well, if that was all coincidence, which it very likely wasn’t, what’s more, is that Jason Aldean has a nearly identical tattoo that depicts a jack and ace plus his initials are also “JA” the same exact letters. Also, Aldean has a picture of a black sun in the same tattoo. Likewise, sun symbology is heavily used on Jason’s website and album cover artwork. As many of our enlightened readers probably know, the sun is worshiped by many secret societies, perhaps most famously, the freemasons. Remember, this game has existed for more than 20 years. So, the Las Vegas shooting has probably been years in the making. Just take a look at what went on with MK Ultra and the history of such government operations such as Project Mockingbird. This kind of manipulation has been going on for a long time. Another one of Jason’s tattoos is a black cross depicting a red star - a pentagram - in the center of it. And as many people know, many of the Illuminati elites worship satan or have Luciferian beliefs of some kind. And, I didn’t even mention the location of the event, right in front of the giant black pyramid and numerous occult symbology… I get into this in a soon to be released Anarchast episode with Mark Passio. Just remember nothing happens by accident. Same ol’, same ol’. If there is one heartening thing I’ve noticed is that a lot more people are questioning these events. Ten years ago when I was adamant that 9/11 was an inside job false flag death ritual most people thought I was crazy. Now, many agree. And now, many are questioning these events… a positive in my opinion. CONCLUSION What will occur in the next two weeks prior to our next issue? I think it’s a safe bet to say “lots”. So far we have made it through September and halfway through October with no market crash. As I write the Dow we just crossed 23,000. The number 23 is quite an occult number . Could the powers behind the scene be targeting 23,000 before a planned crash? We’ll have to wait and see. As you’ll see below, though, Ed Bugos is not giving up on “the big short.” I’ll be in Austin for the Texas Bitcoin Conference on October 28th and 29th. You can get a discount to the conference by using the code “Anarchast”. And then I’ll be going to Lisbon, Portugal for Steemfest from November 1st to 5th. And, of course, don’t forget about Anarchapulco from February 15-17th, then Cryptopulco on February 18th and the TDV Internationalization & Investment Summit on February 19th! For those mostly interested in cryptocurrency, finance and investment, Cryptopulco and the TDV Summit the next day are the events to go to. You can check out the websites to see all the amazing speakers lined up including Trace Mayer, Roger Ver, Bruce Fenton, Dan Larimer and many, many others. And, unlike many other conferences most of the speakers will be around the entire week, and often poolside, where you can casually chat. That also includes myself, Ed Bugos, Juan Galt, Luis Fernando Mises and the rest of the team from TDV. Phew. So much going on… but we are happy to be one of your trusted sources to help you survive and prosper through it all. Thank you for that! And thank you for subscribing! Jeff Berwick
Bitcoin economic facts 2013 and the "deflation harms liquidity" fallacy
1) in 2013 bitcoin experienced inflation (contrary to Orwellian newspeak inflation means "volume increase") roughly 15% 2) in 2013 bitcoin experienced hyperappreciation (not "hyperdeflation" contrary to Orwellian newspeak, since that would mean "volume decrease") roughly 5783% 3) in 2013 bitcoin convincingly disproved the "deflation harms liquidity" Orwellian newspeak fallacy experiencing hypermonetization (liquidity increase) roughly 2995% Source: https://blockchain.info/charts Note for bruce_fenton: it is a fallacy to think that appreciation decreases volatility. The fact is (see Austrian economic works) that it is the marketability (liquidity) increase that does. Edit: However, it is likely that appreciation increases incentive to provide services and goods for bitcoin (there is more wealth to be had), which monetizes bitcoin further, i.e., increases its marketability (= liquidity), ultimately pushing volatility of bitcoin down.
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